Recently the Central Bank of Bangladesh has declared their intention to issue licenses for new banks that, once issued, will almost double the number of commercial banks in a single stroke. The expressed reason has always been the fact that the majority of the country's population are outside the reach of formal banking channels. So, new banks will increase coverage as well competition in the financial sector. However, the latent motive can be something else as most of the licensees are leaders of the ruling party or their cronies. And, every indication is there to suggest these banks will target an over crowded segment of the populace. Although these do not surprise many, the important discussion is what this influx of new banks in a saturated market-segment will mean in the long run.
At present, there are 44 commercial banks with thousands of branches but almost all of them are concentrated in the urban population centers targeting professionals and business people within a narrow segment of the population. There is every indication that the new banks will target the same customers and share into the same capital base rather than creating new pies as promised by the Central Bank. Once the new ones start operating, competition in retail banking will be fierce prompting the risk of increasing percentage of bad loans. On the other hand a increasing portion of the capital base will be disbursed as consumer loans putting inflationary pressure on prices of consumer goods. At the same time, available finance for capital goods will shrink, negatively impacting industrial growth.
But, the gravest evil apparently evident in the pattern of government policies is the fact that distribution of wealth is becoming far more skewed toward the well-off section of the society. Be it the tax structure of the country, or awarding of government contracts, allocation of budgetary incentives or without-retribution-hijacking of people's money from capital market, it is always the cronies and extreme high end of the pyramid who are the beneficiaries. The weak justice system and lack of democratic institutions help to perpetuate the trend. And, the end result is a humongous gap in the wealth of the rich and poor that will shame even most capitalist of thinkers!
At present, there are 44 commercial banks with thousands of branches but almost all of them are concentrated in the urban population centers targeting professionals and business people within a narrow segment of the population. There is every indication that the new banks will target the same customers and share into the same capital base rather than creating new pies as promised by the Central Bank. Once the new ones start operating, competition in retail banking will be fierce prompting the risk of increasing percentage of bad loans. On the other hand a increasing portion of the capital base will be disbursed as consumer loans putting inflationary pressure on prices of consumer goods. At the same time, available finance for capital goods will shrink, negatively impacting industrial growth.
But, the gravest evil apparently evident in the pattern of government policies is the fact that distribution of wealth is becoming far more skewed toward the well-off section of the society. Be it the tax structure of the country, or awarding of government contracts, allocation of budgetary incentives or without-retribution-hijacking of people's money from capital market, it is always the cronies and extreme high end of the pyramid who are the beneficiaries. The weak justice system and lack of democratic institutions help to perpetuate the trend. And, the end result is a humongous gap in the wealth of the rich and poor that will shame even most capitalist of thinkers!
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